The Obituaries Were Premature

For the better part of a decade, the financial press has been writing the same obituary. Bitcoin is finished. Ethereum is a relic. The whole crypto experiment, we are told, was nothing more than a speculative casino built on hype and criminal ambition. After every predicted funeral, the patient gets back up and walks out of the morgue. The truth is that crypto is not dead. It is maturing, and the people who keep pronouncing its demise are usually the same ones who never bothered to understand it in the first place.

The same columnists who called Bitcoin worthless at $1,000 were still calling it worthless at $100,000. The same regulators who warned it would never survive institutional scrutiny are now approving ETFs and drafting custody rules. If consistency mattered in this debate, the obituary writers would have retired years ago.

The numbers tell a very different story than the headlines. Bitcoin, which skeptics assured us would collapse under regulatory pressure, traded above $100,000 for the first time in late 2024 and continued to hold six-figure territory through early 2025. The spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds approved in January 2024 attracted more than $30 billion in net inflows during their first year on the market, bringing institutional capital into an asset class that the establishment once dismissed as monopoly money. Today, more than 50 million Americans own some form of digital asset. That is not a fringe movement. That is a market, and it is not going away.

Yes, there have been scams. Yes, there have been bankruptcies. Every new industry has its bad actors, from the railroad barons to the dot-com hucksters. The presence of fraud does not discredit the underlying technology any more than Bernie Madoff discredited the stock market. What distinguishes crypto from a pure Ponzi scheme is that it runs on open-source code, public ledgers, and mathematics that anyone with patience can verify. The blockchain does not need a press release to prove it exists.

Liberty, Not Lawlessness

Conservatives should approach crypto with clear eyes, but we should not approach it with fear. The core idea is deeply American. A person ought to be able to own property, move value, and enter into contracts without asking permission from a federal agency every time he clicks a button. The Founders did not enshrine the right to financial privacy because they trusted kings and parliaments to handle money wisely. They enshrined it because they knew concentrated power over a currency is concentrated power over the people who use it.

This technology also has a way of exposing hypocrisy. The same voices who lecture Americans about financial inclusion are the first to shut down accounts for political wrongthink. They praise mobile banking in developing nations while trying to ban the open networks that make it possible without a middleman. A conservative vision for crypto starts with a simple premise: your wallet is your business, not the government's.

Crypto is not an invitation to lawlessness. Murderers, fraudsters, and sanctions evaders should be prosecuted under existing law, full stop. But the reflex to regulate every wallet and token out of existence is not really about protecting consumers. It is about protecting incumbents. The big banks, the payment processors, and the Treasury bureaucrats who benefit from the current system would like nothing more than to smother competition in its crib. They call it risk management. The rest of us should call it what it is: a cartel guarding its monopoly.

There is also a practical case for sound money that should appeal to anyone who has watched Washington spend the country into oblivion. The Federal Reserve has printed trillions of dollars in recent years, debasing the savings of working families while asset owners watch their portfolios inflate. Bitcoin, by contrast, has a fixed supply schedule written into its code. No chairman can conjure more of it from a printer. That matters to conservatives who believe money should hold value, not serve as a political toy. Crypto offers an alternative to a financial system that too often treats ordinary citizens as afterthoughts.

Texas Leads, Washington Should Follow

If Washington wants a road map for how to handle this industry, it need only look south. Texas has become the undisputed capital of American Bitcoin mining, with the state hosting an estimated 40 percent of the nation's hash rate. Energy companies here have figured out how to turn excess natural gas and wind power into computational work, stabilizing grids and creating jobs in places that coastal elites wrote off years ago. That is not a threat to national security. It is a testament to Texan ingenuity and proof that private enterprise can solve problems faster than any federal working group.

The jobs are real too. Mining facilities in West Texas, the Panhandle, and the Permian Basin employ electricians, engineers, and technicians in communities that have seen manufacturing leave and not come back. Those paychecks buy groceries, pay property taxes, and keep Main Street open. You cannot dismiss that as vaporware when it shows up in a school district's budget.

The path forward is not complicated, though it will require courage from lawmakers. We need clear rules of the road that punish fraud without crushing innovation. We need to stop pretending that every token is a security or that every wallet provider is a bank. We need a stablecoin framework that lets dollars move on-chain without handing control of the future to a handful of regulated giants. And we need to reject the central bank digital currency model that would turn every transaction into a surveillance opportunity.

Crypto is not dead. It is not even middle-aged. It is a young technology in the middle of a real-world stress test, and so far it has survived bank failures, exchange collapses, hostile regulators, and a thousand premature obituaries. The conservative position is not to run from it or to worship it. The conservative position is to defend the liberty of Americans to build, save, and transact without a government minder looking over their shoulder. If we do that, crypto will not just survive. It will thrive, and so will the country that allows it to flourish.